Email Verification Rollout
Updated 2026-09-27 04:58 UTC · window: last 35 days · source: prod follower (read-only) · regenerates every 30 min
prod: unknown staging: unknown
Waiting for observe. No accounts have been stamped with a verification requirement yet — the funnel columns below fill in automatically once prod leaves off. Everything else is the pre-observe baseline.
457
manual signups / day (7d avg)
—
verify-through <24h (7d)
100.0%
confirmed delivered (35d)
0.0%
bounced — watch for reputation (35d)
Daily signups & verification funnel
| Day | All signups | Manual (email) | Verif. required |
Verified (rate) | <24h rate | Manual trials ≤7d (rate) |
Trials: verified / unverified | All trials ≤7d |
| 2026-09-27 * |
589 |
104 |
· |
· |
· |
11 (10.6%) |
· |
84 |
| 2026-09-26 |
2496 |
483 |
· |
· |
· |
71 (14.7%) |
· |
371 |
| 2026-09-25 |
2442 |
453 |
· |
· |
· |
58 (12.8%) |
· |
384 |
| 2026-09-24 |
2300 |
434 |
· |
· |
· |
74 (17.1%) |
· |
372 |
| 2026-09-23 |
2451 |
448 |
· |
· |
· |
58 (12.9%) |
· |
364 |
| 2026-09-22 |
2318 |
470 |
· |
· |
· |
60 (12.8%) |
· |
325 |
| 2026-09-21 |
2285 |
453 |
· |
· |
· |
60 (13.2%) |
· |
328 |
| 2026-09-20 |
2382 |
460 |
· |
· |
· |
50 (10.9%) |
· |
375 |
| 2026-09-19 |
2547 |
516 |
· |
· |
· |
78 (15.1%) |
· |
410 |
| 2026-09-18 |
2526 |
484 |
· |
· |
· |
63 (13.0%) |
· |
385 |
| 2026-09-17 |
2519 |
546 |
· |
· |
· |
68 (12.5%) |
· |
378 |
| 2026-09-16 |
2476 |
521 |
· |
· |
· |
59 (11.3%) |
· |
355 |
| 2026-09-15 |
2514 |
547 |
· |
· |
· |
63 (11.5%) |
· |
362 |
| 2026-09-14 |
2540 |
530 |
· |
· |
· |
62 (11.7%) |
· |
369 |
| 2026-09-13 |
2740 |
581 |
· |
· |
· |
50 (8.6%) |
· |
348 |
| 2026-09-12 |
2840 |
608 |
· |
· |
· |
64 (10.5%) |
· |
404 |
| 2026-09-11 |
2699 |
561 |
· |
· |
· |
61 (10.9%) |
· |
386 |
| 2026-09-10 |
2911 |
656 |
· |
· |
· |
72 (11.0%) |
· |
387 |
| 2026-09-09 |
2760 |
604 |
· |
· |
· |
68 (11.3%) |
· |
390 |
| 2026-09-08 |
2478 |
545 |
· |
· |
· |
47 (8.6%) |
· |
325 |
| 2026-09-07 |
2338 |
496 |
· |
· |
· |
65 (13.1%) |
· |
314 |
| 2026-09-06 |
2368 |
547 |
· |
· |
· |
52 (9.5%) |
· |
272 |
| 2026-09-05 |
2473 |
533 |
· |
· |
· |
53 (9.9%) |
· |
342 |
| 2026-09-04 |
2308 |
490 |
· |
· |
· |
40 (8.2%) |
· |
270 |
| 2026-09-03 |
2384 |
535 |
· |
· |
· |
54 (10.1%) |
· |
319 |
| 2026-09-02 |
2246 |
494 |
· |
· |
· |
54 (10.9%) |
· |
312 |
| 2026-09-01 |
2238 |
479 |
· |
· |
· |
56 (11.7%) |
· |
316 |
| 2026-08-31 |
2467 |
527 |
· |
· |
· |
45 (8.5%) |
· |
280 |
| 2026-08-30 |
2689 |
552 |
· |
· |
· |
57 (10.3%) |
· |
354 |
| 2026-08-29 |
2252 |
449 |
· |
· |
· |
56 (12.5%) |
· |
294 |
| 2026-08-28 |
2150 |
449 |
· |
· |
· |
58 (12.9%) |
· |
307 |
| 2026-08-27 |
2416 |
516 |
· |
· |
· |
58 (11.2%) |
· |
346 |
| 2026-08-26 |
2631 |
577 |
· |
· |
· |
59 (10.2%) |
· |
358 |
| 2026-08-25 |
2473 |
551 |
· |
· |
· |
62 (11.3%) |
· |
338 |
| 2026-08-24 |
2651 |
552 |
· |
· |
· |
63 (11.4%) |
· |
356 |
| 2026-08-23 |
2403 |
556 |
· |
· |
· |
54 (9.7%) |
· |
300 |
* today is a partial day. Greyed trial cells are cohorts younger than 7 days — their trial window hasn't closed.
Verification email delivery (from token rows)
| Day | Emails | Delivered (rate) | Bad address | Bounced | By status |
|---|
| 2026-09-20 | 1 | 1 (100.0%) | 0 | 0 | delivered: 1 |
| 2026-09-16 | 1 | 1 (100.0%) | 0 | 0 | delivered: 1 |
How to read this
- Manual (email) is the proxy for email+password signups: email set, no Apple/Google/Facebook id, no phone. Pre-observe this is the baseline the funnel will be judged against.
- Working as intended: manual signups may drop, but the losses concentrate in Bad address, verify-through of delivered signups stays high, and All trials stays flat vs baseline.
- Discouraging real users: signups whose mail was delivered and still never verify accumulate, and cohort trial rates fall below the baseline manual trial rate.
- Bounced is not the same as a bad address: a bounce can be a full mailbox or our sending reputation being blocked, so a rising Bounced column is an operational warning, not successful filtering.
- Delivered vs accepted:
accepted only means Mailgun took the message. delivered, bounced, and deferred come from Mailgun's delivery webhook; undeliverable is set before sending when DNS says the domain takes no mail. Rows still sitting at accepted have an outcome we have not heard back on yet.
- Mixpanel/AppsFlyer registration events are deferred until verification on updated app builds — the DB counts here are the honest signup denominator.
- Trial columns use
first_trial_or_purchase_date within 7 days of signup.